The Natural Tendency Paradox

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Some time age I had a conversation with a friend of mine who claims there’s no way will one be a winner in the long run and how his computer simulation model has proven it. Many people know the Law of Large numbers, Random Walk, etc., and how the vig ties into that. However, based on observations, I don’t believe laws of Large numbers are something that can be evaluated during a few visits or over a 1-2 hours of play. You must be aware that you’ll hit lucky streaks, unlucky streaks and choppiness over probably as little as just one hour of play. You must be prepared to face such events.
After familiarizing with a few books, taking notes to my own mistakes, I created some rules that I had to follow if I wanted to have any chance of taking home (small) profits in roulette. And it was not until I began following these rules that my game truly improved. Here is what I came up with. I grouped them together and dubbed it “THE NATURAL TENDENCY PARADOX:”

  •    Play even money and/or 1:2 bets on a Single Zero wheel if possible
  •    Never increase the stakes if you lose.
  •    Don’t panic when you are losing. This is a cause compulsive betting. Try to be patient. Because of natural laws, one or  two trends will begin to take shape shortly – No pressing until it does. (Rule number 5 will protect you if it doesn’t.)
  •    You must press when you win! This is your only chance! Sadly, it’s probably the hardest rule to follow.
  •    Don’t get caught into continuum. Take several 10-15 minute breaks but never break when you’re winning. Decide on loss limits and win limits. Leave the game when its time.